Category: Stock Analysis

  • Palantir (PLTR) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Palantir (PLTR) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Evaluation Date: 2026-01-14 | ← Back to All Stock Evaluations

    Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


    Key Takeaways: Is PLTR a Quality Investment?

    Munger Quality Score: 135/210 (64.3%) – CAUTION

    • Top Strength: Business Quality & Moat (83%) — Proprietary ontology technology with $2.5M-$7.5M switching costs
    • Key Concern: Valuation (29%) — P/E of 375x with no margin of safety
    • Valuation: 375x P/E vs 107x 5-year average — Significantly overvalued at 28x Graham Number
    • Key Risk: Extreme valuation combined with $4B+ insider selling in 2024

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  • Airbnb (ABNB) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Airbnb (ABNB) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Evaluation Date: 2026-01-14 | ← Back to All Stock Evaluations

    Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


    Key Takeaways: Is ABNB a Quality Investment?

    This section provides a scannable summary for quick reference.

    • Verdict: 🟢 PASS — Score: 151/210 (71.9%)
    • Moat Strength: Strong — Network effects, iconic brand recognition, and trust system create durable competitive advantages
    • Financial Health: Excellent — Net cash position of $9.4B, 83% gross margins, strong FCF generation ($4.5B annually)
    • Valuation: Fair to Slightly Overvalued — P/E 31x vs 5-year avg ~33x; trading well above Graham Number
    • Key Risk: Regulatory headwinds from city-level short-term rental bans (NYC, Barcelona) could limit growth in key markets

    This evaluation uses the Charlie Munger Quality Rubric framework analyzing management, moat, financials, and valuation across 8 dimensions.

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  • ServiceNow (NOW) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    ServiceNow (NOW) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Evaluation Date: 2026-01-14 | ← Back to All Stock Evaluations

    Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


    Key Takeaways: Is NOW a Quality Investment?

    This section provides a scannable summary for quick reference.

    • Verdict: 🟡 CAUTION — Score: 143/210 (68.1%)
    • Moat Strength: Strong — Dominant 44% ITSM market share with 98% customer renewal rate and high switching costs
    • Financial Health: Good — $5.4B cash, low debt (Debt/Equity 13%), but ROIC (~8%) below cost of capital
    • Valuation: Overvalued — P/E 86x vs 5yr avg 218x (improved), P/FCF ~36x, premium pricing for growth
    • Key Risk: Recent $12B M&A spree raises execution risk; ROIC destruction concerns as company grows through acquisitions

    This evaluation uses the Charlie Munger Quality Rubric framework analyzing management, moat, financials, and valuation across 8 dimensions.

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  • Broadcom (AVGO) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Broadcom (AVGO) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Evaluation Date: 2026-01-14 | ← Back to All Stock Evaluations

    Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


    Key Takeaways: Is AVGO a Quality Investment?

    Munger Quality Score: 156/210 (74.3%) – PASS

    • Top Strength: Business Quality (91%) — Dominates custom silicon (70% share) and data center networking (90% share) with exceptional VMware switching costs
    • Key Concern: Valuation (57%) — P/E 72x vs 5-year average 60x, EV/EBITDA 49x vs industry median 21x
    • Valuation: 72x P/E vs 60x 5-year average — Premium pricing for quality moat
    • Key Risk: EU antitrust investigation into VMware pricing practices; 32% China revenue exposure and TSMC manufacturing dependency

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  • Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Evaluation Date: 2026-01-13 | <- Back to All Stock Evaluations

    Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


    Key Takeaways: Is GOOGL a Quality Investment?

    Munger Quality Score: 166/210 (79%) – PASS

    • Top Strength: Financial Strength (91%) — Debt/EBITDA 0.17x, $95B cash, Aa2/AA+ credit rating, 26%+ ROIC
    • Key Concern: Regulatory & Political (56%) — DOJ monopoly ruling requiring data sharing with competitors
    • Valuation: 32x P/E vs 28x 5-year average — Premium justified by 34% cloud growth and first dividend
    • Key Risk: Antitrust remedies could erode search dominance; chatbot alternatives growing 225% annually

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  • Meta Platforms (META) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    Meta Platforms (META) Stock Analysis 2026: Is it a Buy? (Munger Quality Rubric)

    View All Stock Evaluations | Evaluation Date: 2026-01-13

    Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The author may hold positions in securities mentioned. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.


    Key Takeaways: Is META a Quality Investment?

    Question: Is Meta Platforms (META) a good stock to buy in 2026?

    Answer: According to the Munger Quality Rubric, Meta Platforms (META) is a PASS with a score of 76.7% (161/210), driven by exceptional financial strength (89%), dominant advertising moat (86%), and strong ROIC of 28%, despite governance concerns from Zuckerberg’s 61% voting control.

    Munger Quality Score: 161/210 (76.7%) – PASS

    • Top Strength: Financial Strength (89%) — Debt/EBITDA 0.48x, $65B+ cash, Aa3 credit rating, 28% ROIC
    • Key Concern: Regulatory Risk (60%) — Ongoing EU DMA/GDPR challenges with €1.5B+ cumulative fines
    • Valuation: 29x P/E vs 26x 5-year average — Fair value with slight premium justified by 22% growth
    • Key Risk: Dual-class structure gives Zuckerberg 61% voting control; Reality Labs consumed $73B with uncertain returns

    This evaluation uses the Charlie Munger Quality Rubric framework analyzing management, moat, financials, and valuation across 8 dimensions.

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  • Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis: Munger Quality Rubric Evaluation 2026

    Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis: Munger Quality Rubric Evaluation 2026

    View All Stock Evaluations | Evaluation Date: 2026-01-12


    Key Takeaways: Is NFLX a Quality Investment?

    This section provides a scannable summary for quick reference.

    • Verdict: PASS — Score: 156/210 (74.3%)
    • Moat Strength: Strong — Global streaming leader with 300M+ subscribers, unmatched content library, and network effects from data-driven personalization
    • Financial Health: Excellent — ROIC 24%+, FCF $9B, Debt/EBITDA ~1.0x, A/A3 credit rating
    • Valuation: Fair to Slightly Overvalued — P/E 37x vs 5yr avg 47x, but pending $72B Warner Bros. acquisition adds uncertainty
    • Key Risk: The proposed Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition could face antitrust challenges and significantly increase leverage

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  • Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock Analysis: Munger Quality Rubric Evaluation 2026

    Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock Analysis: Munger Quality Rubric Evaluation 2026

    View All Stock Evaluations | Evaluation Date: 2026-01-12


    Key Takeaways: Is QCOM a Quality Investment?

    This section provides a scannable summary for quick reference.

    • Verdict: 🟢 PASS — Score: 152/210 (72.4%)
    • Moat Strength: Strong — World-leading 5G patent portfolio with high-margin licensing revenue; testing requirements create massive barriers to entry
    • Financial Health: Excellent — Debt/EBITDA 0.86x, ROIC 26%, $12.8B FCF, $13.3B cash reserves
    • Valuation: Fair to Slightly Overvalued — P/E 34x vs 5yr avg 18x; Forward P/E 14x more reasonable
    • Key Risk: 46-64% revenue exposure to China and impending loss of Apple modem business by 2027

    This evaluation uses the Charlie Munger Quality Rubric framework analyzing management, moat, financials, and valuation across 8 dimensions.

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  • Tesla (TSLA) Munger Quality Rubric: FAIL at 48% – Extreme Valuation

    Tesla (TSLA) Munger Quality Rubric: FAIL at 48% – Extreme Valuation

    View All Stock Evaluations | Evaluation Date: 2026-01-12


    Key Takeaways: Is TSLA a Quality Investment?

    This section provides a scannable summary for quick reference.

    • Verdict: ❌ FAIL — Score: 101/210 (48.1%)
    • Moat Strength: Weakening — Brand eroding as BYD overtakes in global EV sales; market share declining
    • Financial Health: Good — Zero net debt, $36B cash, but declining margins and ROIC
    • Valuation: Significantly Overvalued — P/E 297x, EV/EBITDA 86x, 12x Graham Number
    • Key Risk: CEO distraction and reputational damage affecting brand, combined with extreme valuation

    This evaluation uses the Charlie Munger Quality Rubric framework analyzing management, moat, financials, and valuation across 8 dimensions.

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